Are we looking at
the death of tool and die work in North America and the heat treating
that goes along with it? Certainly some heat treaters would say so based
upon the fact that tool and die pricing from areas such a Asia is so
inexpensive that manufacturers in North America are struggling. For
quite some time now we have been hearing from commercial heat treaters
that specialize in tool and die work that they have seen a dramatic drop
in the demand for vacuum heat treating of tools and dies which is of
course high end heating treating and typically fairly profitable. While
most of our evidence of this decline is "anecdotal" we have asked a few
commercial heat treaters what they are seeing and their thoughts are
below. First up is Grant Robinson of Fused Metals in Georgetown,
Ontario, Canada a reasonably large captive/commercial heat treater that
operates a number of vacuum furnaces. While Grant has not seen an
enormous decline in Tool & Die Heat Treating other of our readers are
more pessimistic.
"I have seen a
drop, but I cannot tell for sure what the reason is. There was
definitely a drop in the amount of tool steel I have heat treated over
the last few years. Some of this I can easily attribute to a customer
deciding to send their work to another heat treat shop. Other changes
have occurred through business changes such as mergers and acquisitions.
Over the last, maybe, 3 months I have seen a surge in materials such as
A2, D2 and M4 from my customers who are in the stamping industry.
However, I seem to rarely get little punches of M2, Vanadis 23 or T15
anymore. I suppose some of this could be going to China, but my
understanding is that the United States practices "protectionism" and I
have heard my customers say that their tooling is now being made in the
USA or that a specific product they were making has been transferred to
their American parent company.
Costs continue to
be the driving factor. When someone wants a quote for a tool, they are
looking at pricing only. No one asks for tenders based on the most
durable and perfect quality tool that can be built. On the other hand,
if you are making your own tooling, this might interest you. However,
top-of-the-line materials and heat treating will always be much more
expensive than cheaper alternatives. It often comes down to who is
making the decisions. If it is a Purchasing Agent, price may be the only
issue. If it is an engineering manager, productivity may me more
important. Bohler-Uddeholm has done a very good job, in my opinion, over
the years stressing proper heat treating. I am a strong advocate of that
as well. There is no point in buying CPM 10V for $30 a pound and then
having its properties short-changed by improper heat treating.
This message is
getting around, I think, which has led to better tooling that runs
longer. However, with the myriad of specialty materials around, it
necessitates that heat treaters have small vacuum furnaces available for
these custom cycles and not just colossal giants. At the risk of
offending some of your other heat treating friends, I have seen lost
customers come back to me after having experienced "cheaper" heat
treating elsewhere.
I do not believe
that work is ever lost forever, on average. I have seen customers come
and go. I continue to see Japanese interest in setting up auto assembly
or fabrication plants in Ontario and I am quite sure they are not
getting their parts from China as I believe that violates export rules
for their cars to the USA. Fused Metals, however, has never been a shop
where everyone sends their A2 and D2 to. Therefore, I may not be seeing
the drop as much as some other strictly tool and die shops such as
Allied Heat Treat in Mississauga."
Grant Robinson of
Fused Metals in Georgetown, Ontario, Canada
Terry Bachmeier of
Rubig Engineering Canada. Terry has been involved in Tool & Die Heat
Treating in Canada for almost 40 years with companies such as Thyssen
Krupp, Ipsen International and Rubig Engineering (Austria, new Vacuum
furnaces and Ion Nitriding systems). When you combine these thoughts
with others from the industry such as Bill Jones of Solar Atmospheres
and Grant Robinson of Fused Metals the conclusion is obvious. Tool & Die
Heat Treating has been in decline, is in decline and will continue to
decline in North America. Sad but true.
"There is no
question that the volume of tool steel heat treating is declining in
Canada. Business in the Tool and Die manufacturing sector is migrating
to the Pacific Rim countries, China in particular, and to countries in
Europe, India and the USA as well.
There are many
factors responsible for this global shift some of which have already
been mentioned in two previous articles by Bill Jones and by Grant
Robinson. Another factor is that certain sectors of die manufacturing
have become mature. As a result tool steel heat treat providers find
that they are competing for tools that have now become a commodity. One
example is aluminum and magnesium die-cast dies for automotive and
hardware components. The contributions made by the tool steel heat
treaters in this equation have been greatly devalued. The old saying,
“We have Price, Quality and Delivery and you can have any two” has
changed. Price, quality and delivery are now a given just to stay in the
game. To the heat treat provider quality is king; to most customers
price is king. In some cases the number of heat treatment cycles have
changed or eliminated due to some specialty steels such as precipitation
and pre-hardened grades resulting in less revenue. It could be argued
that there are still too many commercial heat treat companies competing
for a smaller piece of the remaining tool steel pie.
One has to wonder
why 40 years ago a commercial heat treat shop got approximately $1.20
per pound for tool steel heat treatment and today the average commercial
heat treat provider is considered fortunate to receive $1.20 per pound.
Everything else has gone up except for what the market will bear. It
appears that the customer will pay for the PROCESS ONLY, so it is up to
the heat treat industry to reduce the costs of operations and increase
productivity. To be profitable under the current conditions Commercial
Heat Treat shops must always be changing. They must distinguish
themselves from the competition and learn what the customer will pay for
and at what price. The Captives or In House Heat Treats are not immune
either to the economies of global sourcing."
WHAT TO DO
I have the utmost
respect for heat treat providers who have been time tested. They have
weathered many cycles, and have developed survival instincts. After 39
years in custom tool steel heat treatment I have observed something of
what works and a lot of what does not. No one has a crystal ball and I
can only offer a few thoughts and observations. “During hard times ones
shortcomings play a bigger role”. It is no longer reasonable to try and
compete with old inefficient equipment. Systems that do not provide an
opportunity to reduce the cost of treating a pound of material must be
targeted for replacement or at the very least upgraded.
The new generation
of Vacuum Hardening and Surface Treatment Furnaces are compact, energy
efficient, quiet, tamper proof, computer process controlled, they are
near maintenance free and are capable of lights out operations. In a
modern manufacturing plant it is no longer necessary to have a dedicated
heat treat room or department behind a wall tying up valuable real
estate. Instead modern vacuum hardening equipment can be integrated into
the product flow right on the machine shop floor. “There will always be
a need for speed”. Vacuum tool steel treaters who intend to win new work
from the competition (including competing systems like salt pot
treatments) will need modern and fast furnace systems.
In some cases a
commercial heat treat provider might have good equipment that is not
being used to capacity. It may make sense in some cases to move this
under utilized capital into the customers own plant reducing
transportation costs and turn around times. Even competitors in this day
and age can cooperate to their mutual benefits. Not on price of course
but on services. They may quote a program together to win a contract in
their geographical zone. This is similar to what is happening in the
machine, tool manufacturing sectors. Bohler/Uddenholm and Thermo-Tech
Heat Treat Canada have done this very effectively with a group of
approved heat treat companies strategically located in the industrial
Mid West.
Captive heat treats
may find that to justify expenditures for new equipment they will have
to include taking in up to 30% commercial work. Commercial heat treaters
can process work for OEM companies who have in house heat treat
departments because they can process certain products better and at
considerable cost savings to the manufactures. At the end of the day
they are all selling furnace time and unfortunately at the lowest price.
Commercial heat treaters will have to continue distinguishing themselves
by providing additional non heat treat but complimentary services. This
is cleverly being done by Schmolz & Bickenbach Canada Inc. a commercial
heat treater located in Windsor Ontario. S & B market a package of tool
steel, quality heat treatment, machining and transportation all under
one purchase order. Patt Technologies located in St-Eustache (Montreal)
Quebec have developed proprietary multiple surface coating treatments to
compliment their own manufactured products. As a result of their “know
how” and specialty equipment they are attracting outside commercial work.
Thermetco Inc. in Montreal has remained on the forefront of technology.
Their niche is to be full service provider and in some cases fabricate
and heat treat sophisticated components. Companies like Exactatherm in
Mississauga Ontario, are a manufacture that has both In House and
Commercial treatments and is a full service provider who has
demonstrated innovation and vision.
It is not my
intention to exclude anyone as there are many more fine examples
although too many to mention in this writing. Risk management is
absolutely essential to the heat treat provider and the customer alike.
Improved risk management throughout the thermal processes is now more
than ever indispensable. There are still too many frivolous claims and
in some cases from companies who can not pay their bills. Heat treatment
providers are sitting down with engineers now. Thermal treatments must
not be an afterthought. If it is not good business don’t take it in.
I would be remiss
if I did not address the labor force in this equation. In Canada we have
a very large well educated middle class work force. However the work
ethic has changed. The OEM’s can now source their requirements to other
countries and for much less. Cheap labor no longer means cheap quality
because the heat treat recipes have been well established so the desired
results can be reproduced exactly with modern equipment and with very
few key supervisory personnel. I firmly believe the Canadian Market for
thermal treatment services will survive and be strong due to the
Canadian entrepreneurial spirit, diversification, new emerging markets,
new and improved technology and a flexible work force that continuously
appreciates in value."
Terry Bachmeier,
Rubig Engineering Canada 519 967-1300
Bill Jones, CEO of
Solar Atmospheres. While Bill's comments are not what we want to hear as
head of the largest commercial vacuum shop in North America Bill's
comments carry a lot of weight.
"In the greater mid
Atlantic region, our shops are outside of Philadelphia, tool and die
heat treating has been reducing year over year since the early 1990's.
At least six heat treating companies have gone out of business as a
result of the turn down in business from manufacturing and machine shops.
The hurt on these shops is even more severe as dozens and dozens no
longer exist.
Our plant in
Hermitage is mid way between Pittsburgh and Erie, and not far from
Meadville and the latter a major area for tool and die shops.
Tooling was good
business into the late 90's, but a severe business turn down occurred
after 2001 from which the manufacturing shops have never recovered, nor
has heat treating as a result of this market loss.
Both Solar plants
have grown and survived by turning our attention to other markets such
as vacuum annealing, brazing, nitriding, carburizing and other special
heat treating process as niche business where other heat treating
companies do not offer these services. In order to grow in a declining
market we have had to also reach across the country North, South, and to
the West coast to find this business. Our advantage is multiple large
vacuum furnaces capable of handling very heavy work loads in deep vacuum,
often at very high, or surprise, low temperature, and operating in
hydrogen, sometimes wet, or other special atmospheres, generally not
thought of in standard vacuum furnace.
With the relocation
of manufacturing to Mexico and off shore, the tool and die heat treating
business as we know it is gone forever from North America, except for
locale shops with special low run business for repairs, development, and
defense business."
William R. Jones, CEO Solar Atmospheres
Inc.
October 2007
|